Five horizons.
One civilization, walking from now to cosmos.五大远景。
一种文明,从此刻走向宇宙。
Every civilizational vision has two forms. A present form — what we've already started to do. And a future form — what it would mean, taken seriously, at cosmic scale. Globalization becomes interstellar civilization. Pluralism becomes multiverse. Sustainability becomes cosmic sustainability. Quality of life becomes comprehensive social progress. Wisdom uplift becomes wisdom uplift for everyone, augmented. This site is the map of those five arcs.每一种文明愿景都有两种形态。一种是现在愿景——我们已经在做的; 另一种是未来愿景——若把它认真推到宇宙级会变成什么。 全球化 → 跨星系文明;多元化 → 多元宇宙;可持续 → 宇宙可持续; 品质提升 → 全面社会进步;智慧提升 → 每一个人都被增强的全面智慧。 此站是这五条弧线的地图。
The five horizons五大远景
Each one is a single axis: spatial, reality, temporal, human, cognitive. Each has a present form we can measure and a future form we can imagine.每一条都是单一维度:空间、现实、时间、人类福祉、认知。 每一条都有可测量的"现在愿景",与可设想的"未来愿景"。
From a globalized planet to a civilization that spans the stars — the upgrade of our spatial footprint by twenty orders of magnitude.从全球化的行星,到跨越群星的文明——把人类的空间足迹扩大二十个量级。
From pluralism among cultures to pluralism among universes — the upgrade of "the real" from a singular noun to a multiverse.从文化间的多元化,到宇宙间的多元化——把『实在』从单数名词升级为复数宇宙。
From planetary sustainability to cosmic sustainability — the upgrade of our temporal horizon by twelve orders of magnitude.从行星级可持续,到宇宙级可持续——把文明的时间视野扩大十二个量级。
From rising standards of living to a civilization where every human life is structurally fuller — the upgrade of the human dimension.从生活水准上升,到每一个人的生命在结构上更丰盛的文明——人类福祉维度的提升。
From rising literacy and education to AI-mediated wisdom for every human — the upgrade of the cognitive layer of the species.从识字率与教育率的上升,到 AI 中介的全民智慧——把整个物种的认知层升级。
Civilizations rank by the energy they use文明依其能量使用量分级
In 1964 Nikolai Kardashev proposed that civilizations be classified by the order of magnitude of energy at their disposal. Type I owns a planet. Type II owns a star. Type III owns a galaxy. The scale is logarithmic. The horizon is six orders of magnitude away.1964 年,卡尔达舍夫提出按所支配能量的数量级,对文明进行分级。 I 型支配一颗行星,II 型支配一颗恒星,III 型支配一座星系。 这是一把对数尺。远景在六个数量级之外。
Why pair present and future at all为何要把现在与未来配对
Most civilizational debate is conducted in one tense at a time. Optimists about the future have a habit of underselling the present. Defenders of the present have a habit of mocking the future. The pair is rarer than either alone — and more useful than either alone.
The reason to pair them is that the present is the *engine* of the future. Globalization is not an alternative to interstellar civilization; it is its training ground. Pluralism is not in tension with multiverse cosmology; it is the political muscle that makes the cosmology intelligible. Sustainability is not the opposite of growth; it is the only way growth lasts long enough to reach a horizon worth reaching.
The table this site is built from contains nothing exotic. Every present-form on the left is a project already in motion. Every future-form on the right is a recognizable extension of the same project, scaled twelve to twenty orders of magnitude. The horizon is the present, taken seriously.
多数文明议题,每次只在一种时态下进行。对未来乐观的人,惯于贬低现在。 为现在辩护的人,惯于嘲笑未来。把两者配在一起的人,比任何一边都少——也比任何一边都更有用。
把它们配在一起的理由,是现在乃未来的发动机。 全球化并非"跨星系文明"的对立面,它是其训练场。多元化与多元宇宙宇宙学并不冲突, 它是让那种宇宙学得以被理解的政治肌肉。可持续不是增长的反面, 它是让增长足够长寿、能抵达值得抵达之远景的唯一方式。
此站所本的那张表,没有任何奇思之物。左侧每一项"现在愿景",都是已经在进行中的项目。 右侧每一项"未来愿景",都是同一个项目放大十二到二十个量级后的可辨认延伸。 所谓远景,就是把现在当真。